JAKARTA, KOMPAS.com – A number of research institutions have published the results of a survey on the eligibility of presidential candidate candidate 01 Joko Widodo-Ma ruf Amin and pair 02 Prabowo Subianto-Sandiaga Uno.
From the overall survey results, it was found that a few Jokowi-Ma ruf overcame Prabowo-Sandiag.
The following is a summary of the results of a survey of six research institutions:
A survey conducted by Alvara Research Center showed that the eligibility of Jokowi-Ma’s pair is better than Prabowo-Sandiaga.
Based on a survey of 1,200 respondents representing 34 provinces, from 22 February to 2 March 2019, 53.9% of respondents chose Jokowi-Ma. While 34.7% of respondents chose Prabowo-Sandiaga.
“The number of respondents who answered did not know up to 11.4 percent,” said Alvara Research Center CEO Hasanuddin Ali on Kompas.com on Wednesday (3/27/2019).
Also read: Alvara Survey: Jokowi-Maruf 53.9 Percent, Prabowo-Sandi 34.7 Percent
Hasanuddin revealed that the tendency for Jokowi-Maruf’s eligibility tends to be stable. In August 2018, the Alvara survey showed that Jokowi-Ma’s ruf’s eligibility was 53.6 percent, while Prabowo-Sandiaga was 35.2 percent.
October 2018, Jokowi-Ma’s uf’s eligibility slightly increased to 54.1%, while Prabowo-Sandi’s election fell to 33.9%. In December 2018, Jokowi-Maruf’s election increased again to 54.3%, while Prabowo-Sandi also rose to 35.1%.
2. Vox populi
The pair of Jokowi-Ma ruf also excelled in a survey organized by the Vox Populi research institute. The survey took place from 5 to 15 March 2019.
Also read: Vox Populi Survey: Jokowi-Maruf 54.1 percent, Prabowo-Sandiaga 33.6 percent
“The eligibility of Jokowi-Ma’s rufa is 54.1 percent, while Prabowo-Sandiagy’s eligibility is 33.6 percent,” said Dika Moehamad, director of the Vox Populi Research Center, in her official press release on Monday (03/25/2019 ).
The number of respondents who did not know was 12.3 percent.
Dika said that the high difference between Jokowi-Ma’s ruf and Prabowo-Sandiagou was due to the high level of community satisfaction with government performance.
The survey conducted by the Indo Barometer on March 15-21, 2019 shows the difference in candidate eligibility between Joko Widodo-Ma, Amin and Prabowo Subianto-Sandiaga Uno, reaching 18.8 percent.
Also read: Indo Barometer Survey: Jokowi-Maruf 50.8 percent, Prabowo-Sandi 32 percent
The eligibility of Jokowi-Ma was 50.8 percent, while Prabowo-Sandi was 32 percent. The rest are those who still keep their decisions secret 17.2 percent.
“The presidential election in 2019 is repeated in the 2014 presidential election. Because the one who fought was the same presidential candidate, namely Jokowi vs. Prabowo. The current presidential candidate was still more elective than Prabowo Subianto,” said Indo Barometer. , Hadi Suprapto Rusli, on-site exploration, Hotel Century, Senayan, Jakarta, Tuesday (2/4/2019).
Compared to last year’s Indo Barometer survey, Jokowi-Ma’s election grew by 0.6 percent, while Prabowo-Sandi grew by 3.1 percent.
4. Roy Morgan
While the Australian exploration institute Roy Morgan called the election Joka Widoda to 56.5 percent and Prabowo 43.5 percent.
This survey does not include the names of the Vice Presidential Candidates.
However, compared to the previous month or February 2019, Jokowi’s eligibility decreased by 0.5 percent.
Read also: Roy Morgan Survey: Jokowi & Electility 56.5 Percent, 43.5 Percent Prabowo
This survey was conducted in mid-February until mid-March 2019, with 1,102 respondents over 17 in 17 provinces.
Roy Morgan uses a direct interview method with a margin of error of approximately 1.3 percent in this survey.
ANTARA PHOTO / SIGID KURNIAWAN
KPU chairman Arief Budiman (center) along with presidential and vice-presidential candidates number 01 Joko Widodo (both left) and Maruf Amin (left) and pair number 02 Prabowo Subianto (second right) and Sandiaga Uno (right) are preparing for the first presidential debate 2019 election, at Bidakara Hotel, Jakarta, Thursday (1/17/2019). The debate raised the theme of Law, Human Rights, Corruption and Terrorism.
Denny JA Survey’s Indonesian Survey (LSI) and published on Tuesday (2/4/2019). The choice of Jokowi-Ma rufa is 56.8 percent to 63.2 percent
Read also: LSI Denny JA: Jokowi-Maruf 56.8 Percent-63.2 Percent, Prabowo-Sandiaga 36.8 Procent-43.2 Percent
“While Prabowo-Sandiaga’s pairing was 36.8 percent at 43.2 percent,” said LSI researcher Denny JA, Ardian Sopa.
The survey data collection was from March 18 to 26, 2019. The survey used 1,200 respondents to use the multi-stage random sampling method.
6. Research and Development Compass
The latest research conducted by the Compass Research and Development Department on February 22, 2019 – March 5, 2019 shows that Jokowi-Ma’s election is 49.2 percent, while Prabowo-Sandiaga is 37.4 percent. Meanwhile, 13.4% of respondents reported secrecy.
However, if undecided voters are divided proportionally, the victory potential of Jokowi-Ma’s rufa is 56.8 percent, while Prabowo-Sandiaga is 43.2 percent.
Read also: Compass Research and Development: Jokowi-Maruf Eligibility Down 3.4 Percent, Prabowo-Sandi Increases 4.7 Percent
This survey was conducted in the form of face-to-face interviews with 2000 respondents who were randomly selected through systematic multi-level sampling in 34 provinces in Indonesia, with a 95% confidence level and an error margin of +/- 2.2%.
Compass R&D researcher, Bambang Setiawan, wrote that the distance between the two candidate pairs has further decreased by 11.8%.
Meanwhile, according to the indicator survey, Jokowi-Ma was rufova 55.4 percent and Prabowo-Sandia 37.4 percent.
Indicator Executive Director Burhanudin Muhtadi said Jokowi-Ma’s support was still significantly better than Prabowo-Sandiaga until the end of March 2019.
“Jokowi-Ma dominates gender, age, village / city, economy class, ethnic Javanese, Nahdlatul Ulama (NU), secondary and lower education, especially blue collar,” Burhanudin told an Indonesian political office. indicators, Central Jakarta, Wednesday (3/4/2019).
This survey was conducted on 1,220 respondents with a secondary random method. The margin of error is 2.9% and the confidence level is 95%. This survey is funded independently.